The Formula for Value
Expected Value (EV) is calculated as: (Win Probability × Profit) - (Loss Probability × Stake). To get an accurate EV, you need a precise win probability, which is where the AI Matchup Researcher comes in.
Gathering the Data
By using the Analyzer mode, you can get a tactical narrative on how focus points—like a key player injury—might shift the true probability of a game. If the AI's tactical breakdown suggests a team has a 60% chance to win, but the sportsbook odds imply only 50%, you have identified a +EV (Positive Expected Value) opportunity.